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3 January 2008
Let me make a few observations about the results tonight, based in part on the CNN entrance polls. First, the evangelical network beat the machine on the Republican side, with evangelical turnout making up about 60% of Republican voters, with Huckabee winning evangelicals decisively, and Romney winning non-evangelicals. Second, on the Democratic side (especially), turnout was the story, with a close to doubling of turnout from 2004. Particularly remarkable was the strong turnout of young voters—22% of those who turned out on the Democratic side were 17-29 (compare to 11% in Republican caucuses)—the same percentage as those 65 and over. Clinton decisively won those 45 and over (who still made up 60% of voters), but Obama just overwhelmed Clinton among those 45 and under.
In any case, the point here I make (casually) is that the individual decisions how to vote and whether to vote are not independent observations—that there is a pre-existing social organization (evangelicals in church, students in college)—which serves as the vessel for political action. I don’t claim this as a novel observation about politics, just one that is highlighted in these numbers.
Posted by David Lazer at January 3, 2008 11:53 PM